What's the probability?

Okay - I'm giving it a shot. If I post the info on my blog, I'm supposed to have a bigger chance of winning. So I'm posting . . . visit http://cuttlebugchallenge.blogspot.com/2010/04/what-is-red-velvet-and-silver-and-youve.html to check out the new Cricut cake machine. I'd love to win it, but so would every other red blooded scrapper out there. At least I tried - sigh . . .